I think we have to be very careful about some of the so called “irrefutable” evidence since all science has to make certain assumptions before conclusions are drawn. Managed fisheries with farmed stock in isolated lakes are not representative of what might happen in a wild gene pool. I think we must also differentiate what species of fish we refer to when speculating on genetic effects.
Yellowfin Tuna only live for about 5 years and in that time, under ideal conditions they can reach 300lbs or more maximum size potential. With commercial fishing pressure reducing their effective lifespan, not only does the population numbers diminish, but we notice an overall reduction in the size of the fish caught. This happens very quickly, within the space of a few years. There is no way that genetic variation can operate this quickly and the gene pool is likely uneffected by commercial fishing since all the fish either caught or remaining in the population have all the genes they need to reach 300lb’s if they live long enough.
The only way you’d really know if the genetic effect was responsible for a reduction in overall size would be to study growth rates, longivity and ultimate size of two comparable fish populations under identical conditions. A fish with a smaller maximum size potential would have a slower growth rate than one with normal genes. Unfortunately, there are other variables that prevent scientists from completely isolating the parameter they wish to study. Other variables that can effect the outcome include availability of food, water temperature, water chemistry and condition, climate, etc etc etc…
I would suggest that unless a control population could be isolated in completely unchanging conditions, free from climatic variation, good years and bad, free from pollution and everything else that effects a fishes maximum size potential, we’d never really know. We can’t extract the genes and read the code, that’s for sure. The likelyhood of genetic variation also requires isolation. If genes are constantly mixed from a wild and uneffected population, the gene pool remains the same. Isolated lakes and ponds are more likely to experience this than open water bodies, but with everything else that’s changed in the world over the length of time required for genetic change, it’s a tough call to say its all in the genes.
So all this science doesn’t exactly convince me. What does convince me is the effect of a net ban on an inshore fishery which had been all but decimated by commercial overfishing. Rod and line anglers catch rates had diminished to the point it wasn’t worth wetting a line. Any fish that were caught were typically undersized. Yet now the population is healthy, fish are prolific and record weight fish are caught on a regular basis. No sign of genetic damage by years of overfishing here.
Another example of other variables aside from the gene pool effecting the outcome would be the change I noticed in Indonesian school children in just a few short years in the 90’s. With McDonalds and fast food freely available in Indonesia now, school children tower above their parents. They always had it in them, they just needed McD to bring it out!
This is certainly an interesting topic, but I think one thing which can be considered fact and that I think no-one here would dispute, releasing the big breeding fish that are the cornerstone of population regeneration is a smart thing to do in any fishery.